Kalshi settlement rules and sources, 2026

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  • KXFIRSTSUPERBOWLSONG0%
  • KXMEDIACOVEREAFC0%
  • KXMEDIACOVERMADDEN0%
  • Other (12,248)
  • Spread0%
  • To Advance0%
  • BTTS0%
  • Other (10,210)
  • Politics22%
  • Sports21%
  • Elections15%
  • Other (8)
  • one_off58%
  • custom33%
  • annual6%
  • https://www.wsj.com/4%
  • https://apnews.com/4%
  • https://kalshi.com/4%
  • Other (1,831)
  • ESPN7%
  • The Wall Street Journal4%
  • Reuters4%
  • Other (1,624)
  • quadratic99%
  • quadratic_with_maker_fees1%
  • quadratic_with_combo_maker_fees0%
Histogram: 0 to 0.5, 61; 0.5 to 1, 40,097
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  • https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/MENTION.pdf6%
  • https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/REPORTTOPIC.pdf4%
  • https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/VISITAREA.pdf2%
  • Other (2,313)
  • https://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/MENTION.pdf6%
  • https://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/REPORTTOPIC.pdf4%
  • https://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/VISITAREA.pdf2%
  • Other (2,313)
  • 2026-08-29 22:27:15.071958+0023%
  • 2026-08-29 22:19:09.496371+0011%
  • 2026-08-29 21:43:47.37311+009%
  • Other (4,890)
10Y2YTreasury spread 10Y-2YFinancialscustomhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2YFederal Reserve Bank of St. Louisquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/10Y2Y.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/10Y2Y.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
10Y3MTreasury spread 10Y-3MFinancialscustomhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y3MFederal Reserve Bank of St. Louisquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/10Y3M.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/10Y3M.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
1SONG-DRAKEDrake top songEntertainmentcustomhttps://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/Billboardquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/1SONG.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/1SONG.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
1SONG-KDOTKendrick top songEntertainmentcustomhttps://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/Billboardquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/1SONG.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/1SONG.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
1SONGBILLIEEILISHBillie EIlish top songEntertainmentcustomhttps://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/Billboardquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/1SONG.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/1SONG.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
1SONGCHAPPELLROANChappell Roan top songEntertainmentcustomhttps://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/Billboardquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/1SONG.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/1SONG.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
1SONGMACKLEMOREMacklemore top songEntertainmentcustomhttps://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/Billboardquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/1SONG.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/1SONG.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
538APPROVEPresident 538 approval rating this weekPoliticsweeklyhttps://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/?cid=rrpromoFiveThirtyEightquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/538APPROVE.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/538APPROVE.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
538APPROVEMAXBiden 538 highest approval ratingPoliticscustomhttps://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/?cid=rrpromoFiveThirtyEightquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/538APPROVEMINMAX.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/538APPROVEMINMAX.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
538APPROVEMINBiden 538 lowest approval ratingPoliticscustomhttps://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/?cid=rrpromoFiveThirtyEightquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/538APPROVEMINMAX.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/538APPROVEMINMAX.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
538APPROVEYPresident 538 approval rating yearlyPoliticsannualhttps://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/?cid=rrpromoFiveThirtyEightquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/538APPROVE.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/538APPROVE.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
AAAGASDUS gas price upEconomicsdailyhttps://gasprices.aaa.com/AAAquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/AAAGAS.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/AAAGAS.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
AAAGASMUS gas priceEconomicsmonthlyhttps://gasprices.aaa.com/AAAquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/AAAGAS.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/AAAGAS.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
AAAGASMAXUS highest gas price yearlyEconomicsannualhttps://gasprices.aaa.com/AAAquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/AAAGASMINMAX.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/AAAGASMINMAX.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
AAAGASMAXCACalifornia highest gas price yearlyEconomicsannualhttps://gasprices.aaa.com/AAAquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/AAAGASMINMAX.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/AAAGASMINMAX.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
AAAGASMAXTXTexas highest gas price yearlyEconomicsannualhttps://gasprices.aaa.com/AAAquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/AAAGASMINMAX.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/AAAGASMINMAX.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
AAAGASMINUS lowest gas price yearlyEconomicsannualhttps://gasprices.aaa.com/AAAquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/AAAGASMINMAX.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/AAAGASMINMAX.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
AAAGASMINCACalifornia lowest gas price yearlyEconomicsannualhttps://gasprices.aaa.com/AAAquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/AAAGASMINMAX.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/AAAGASMINMAX.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
AAAGASMINTXTexas lowest gas price yearlyEconomicsannualhttps://gasprices.aaa.com/AAAquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/AAAGASMINMAX.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/AAAGASMINMAX.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
AAAGASWUS gas price upEconomicsweeklyhttps://gasprices.aaa.com/AAAquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/AAAGAS.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/AAAGAS.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
AAAGASYUS gas price upEconomicsannualhttps://gasprices.aaa.com/AAAquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/AAAGAS.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/AAAGAS.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
AAPLCEOCHANGETim Cook leaves AppleCompaniescustomhttps://www.apple.comApplequadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/AAPLCEOCHANGE.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/AAPLCEOCHANGE.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
AAPLWATCHApple watch sales bannedCompaniesone_offhttps://www.apple.comApplequadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/AAPLWATCH.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/AAPLWATCH.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ACMAAOTYxEntertainmentannualhttps://www.acmcountry.com/Academy of Country Musicquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ACMA.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ACMA.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ACMAASWOTYxEntertainmentone_offhttps://www.acmcountry.com/Academy of Country Musicquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ACMA.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ACMA.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ACMADOTYxEntertainmentannualhttps://www.acmcountry.com/Academy of Country Musicquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ACMA.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ACMA.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ACMAEOTYxEntertainmentannualhttps://www.acmcountry.com/Academy of Country Musicquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ACMA.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ACMA.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ACMAFAOTYxEntertainmentannualhttps://www.acmcountry.com/Academy of Country Musicquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ACMA.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ACMA.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ACMAGOTYxEntertainmentannualhttps://www.acmcountry.com/Academy of Country Musicquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ACMA.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ACMA.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ACMAMAOTYxEntertainmentannualhttps://www.acmcountry.com/Academy of Country Musicquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ACMA.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ACMA.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ACMAMEOTYxEntertainmentone_offhttps://www.acmcountry.com/Academy of Country Musicquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ACMA.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ACMA.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ACMANDGOTYxEntertainmentone_offhttps://www.acmcountry.com/Academy of Country Musicquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ACMA.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ACMA.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ACMANFAOTYxEntertainmentannualhttps://www.acmcountry.com/Academy of Country Musicquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ACMA.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ACMA.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ACMANMAOTYxEntertainmentannualhttps://www.acmcountry.com/Academy of Country Musicquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ACMA.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ACMA.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ACMASINGOTYxEntertainmentannualhttps://www.acmcountry.com/Academy of Country Musicquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ACMA.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ACMA.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ACMASOTYxEntertainmentannualhttps://www.acmcountry.com/Academy of Country Musicquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ACMA.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ACMA.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ACMASWOTYxEntertainmentone_offhttps://www.acmcountry.com/Academy of Country Musicquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ACMA.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ACMA.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ACMAVMOTYxEntertainmentone_offhttps://www.acmcountry.com/Academy of Country Musicquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ACMA.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ACMA.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ACPIUS annual inflationEconomicsannualhttps://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.toc.htmBureau of Labor Statisticsquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ACPI.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ACPI.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ACPICOREAnnual core inflationEconomicsannualhttps://www.bls.gov/cpi/Bureau of Labor Statisticsquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/YOYCPICORE.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/YOYCPICORE.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ACPICORE-US annual core inflationEconomicsannualhttps://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.toc.htmBureau of Labor Statisticsquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ACPICORE.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ACPICORE.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
AIDEBATESAI at the debatesScience and Technologycustomhttps://www.debates.org/Kalshiquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/AIDEBATES.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/AIDEBATES.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
AILEGISLATIONAI regulationPoliticsone_offhttps://www.congress.gov/Library of Congressquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/AILEGISLATION.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/AILEGISLATION.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
AITURINGAI turing testScience and Technologycustomhttps://longbets.org/1/Long Bets Foundationquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/AITURING.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/AITURING.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ALBUMTRACKSBRUNOHOW MANY TRACKS WILL THERE BE ON BRUNOS NEW ALBUMEntertainmentone_offhttps://www.spotify.comSpotifyquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ALBUMTRACKS.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ALBUMTRACKS.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ALTMANSam Altman starts new companyScience and Technologycustomhttps://twitter.com/samaSam Altmanquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ALTMAN.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ALTMAN.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
AMAZONFTCCourts consider Amazon a monopolyPoliticscustomhttps://pacer.uscourts.gov/PACERquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/AMAZONFTC.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/AMAZONFTC.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
AMBCNBurns confirmed as China AmbassadorPoliticsone_offhttps://www.congress.govLibrary of Congressquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/CNAMB.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/CNAMB.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
AMCCEOCHANGENew AMC CEOCompaniescustomhttps://www.amctheatres.com/AMCquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/AMCCEOCHANGE.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/AMCCEOCHANGE.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
ANIMEAOTYAnime of the YearEntertainmentannualhttps://www.crunchyroll.com/en/animeawards/Crunchyrollquadratic1https://assets.kalshi.com/regulatory/product-certifications/ANIME.pdfhttps://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ANIME.pdf2026-08-29T22:27:15.071958Z
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